IvyArcIvyArc
6

Devastating

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 83

Laurel Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Laurel Park 28/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 90 · 7f 122 · below its mark28/12/2025 · OR 90 par28/12C8OR 90C8 @ Laurel Park 06/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 77 · 6f 126 · below its mark06/02/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Laurel Park 21/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 76 · 6f 126 · below its mark21/02/2026 · OR 76 par21/02C8OR 76C8 @ Laurel Park 02/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 79 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 79 parC5 @ Laurel Park 16/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 80 · 1m 123 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 80 par16/05C5OR 80C5 @ Laurel Park 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 83 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 83 parC7 @ Colonial Downs 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 87 · 1m Yie 123 · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 87 par13/07C7OR 87C7 @ Colonial Downs 08/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 87 · 1m 123 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 87 parC7 @ Colonial Downs 30/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 86 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 86 par30/08C7OR 86projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Colonial Downs?1st3rd−2
2026-08-08Colonial Downs?5th7th−2
2026-07-13Colonial Downs?2nd4th−2
2026-06-06Laurel Park?2nd2nd0
2026-05-16Laurel Park?7th7th0
2026-05-02Laurel Park?2nd5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/122/0513/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength60%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/12/20254th10/147%50%+0.03
06/02/20265th7/163%20%-0.43
21/02/20263rd14/126%67%+0.40
02/05/20262nd2/189%86%-0.04
16/05/20267th7/163%54%-0.09
06/06/20262nd13/891%67%-0.25
13/07/20262nd10/1195%67%-0.29
08/08/20265th7/491%56%-0.35
30/08/20261st13/266%100%+0.34