8
Gripen
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 94
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 20% | -0.68 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |