9
Sleepwalker
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 90
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
80%
Place Prob
58%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2025 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 14% | -0.68 |
| 24/04/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 09/07/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 16/08/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 15/11/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |