3
Unwavering Monarch
4yo Filly · 8-11
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength72%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Le Lion D'angers | 1 | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2025-11-22 | Fontainebleau | ? | 8th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2025-10-11 | Naas | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -75.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 22% | -0.49 |
| 14/05/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |