All The Hardways
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 94
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
56%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 13/12/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 20% | -0.66 |
| 26/12/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |