Change My World
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 98
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
19%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |