Faster Gator
4yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 88
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 0th | +6 |
| 2025-11-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-10-21 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-08-23 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 30/06/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 20/07/2025 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 21/10/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 24/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 8/11 | 96% | 0% | -0.96 |