5

Fear Nothing

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 91

Laurel Park · Race 9 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength62%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 5 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Laurel Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 88 par4/10C8OR 88C7 @ Laurel Park 13/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 84 · 6f 125 · beat its mark13/12/2025 · OR 84 parC5 @ Laurel Park 26/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 93 · 5f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 93 par26/12C5OR 93C5 @ Laurel Park 23/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 98 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 98 parC5 @ Laurel Park 06/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 97 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/02/2026 · OR 97 par6/02C5OR 97C5 @ Laurel Park 15/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 97 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 97 parC5 @ Laurel Park 12/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 97 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 97 par12/04C5OR 97C5 @ Laurel Park 14/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 99 · 6f Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 99 parC5 @ Delaware Park 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 100 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 100 par11/06C5OR 100projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-11Delaware Park?4th2nd+2
2026-05-14Laurel Park?3rd1st+2
2026-04-12Laurel Park?3rd1st+2
2026-03-15Laurel Park?3rd1st+2
2026-02-06Laurel Park?3rd1st+2
2026-01-23Laurel Park?1st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1023/0112/0411/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength2%

Delivery trend -6.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
13/12/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
26/12/20253rd13/266%71%+0.06
23/01/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
06/02/20263rd5/287%67%-0.20
15/03/20263rd7/282%50%-0.32
12/04/20263rd15/261%75%+0.14
14/05/20263rd6/168%60%-0.08
11/06/20264th9/153%0%-0.53