7
Gatsby
8yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 93
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 43% | -0.47 |
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 11/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |