6

Omar Comin

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 102

Laurel Park · Race 9 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength49%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Charles Town 14/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 95 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 95 par14/02C5OR 95C6 @ Charles Town 22/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 98 · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/02/2026 · OR 98 parC5 @ Charles Town 08/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 99 · 7f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 99 par8/03C5OR 99C5 @ Charles Town 05/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 101 · 6f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 101 parC5 @ Charles Town 25/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 100 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 100 par25/04C5OR 100C6 @ Charles Town 17/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 112 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 112 parC5 @ Charles Town 05/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 104 · 7f Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 104 par5/07C5OR 104C6 @ Charles Town 07/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 102 · 6f110y Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 102 parC0 @ Colonial Downs 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m110y Fas 12022/08C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Colonial Downs?6th6th0
2026-08-07Charles Town?3rd2nd+1
2026-07-05Charles Town?5th3rd+2
2026-05-17Charles Town?6th5th+1
2026-04-25Charles Town?5th3rd+2
2026-04-05Charles Town?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/025/045/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/02/20263rd7/163%60%-0.03
22/02/20261st4/797%100%+0.03
08/03/20262nd9/488%75%-0.13
05/04/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
25/04/20265th11/271%50%-0.21
17/05/20266th4/179%17%-0.62
05/07/20265th16/116%0%-0.16
07/08/20263rd15/261%60%-0.01
22/08/20266th7/163%38%-0.26