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2

Chairmanforlife

3yo Gelding · 10-12

Listowel · Kinisla Charleville Cheese 3-Y-O Hurdle · 2m

#3

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran to a borderline fair level on the first 2 of his 3 starts on the Flat at up to 12.8f but made a discouraging debut in this sphere at Killarney recently.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 15/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f Yie 13415/04C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 08/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f183y Goo 1318/05C8C8 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 18 · OR - · 1m4f43y Yie 15529/07C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Killarney?0
2026-07-29Galway?13th13th0
2026-05-08Ballinrobe?4th4th0
2026-04-15Leopardstown?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/048/0529/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength26%

Delivery trend -10.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/04/20266th28/10%50%+0.50
08/05/20264th9/153%67%+0.14
29/07/202613th33/10%29%+0.29