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Connor Of Mali

3yo Gelding · 10-12

Listowel · Kinisla Charleville Cheese 3-Y-O Hurdle · 2m

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed first form over hurdles when 23½ lengths fourth of 11 to Sea Of Dubka in 3-y-o maiden event at Killarney last time, albeit without suggesting he'll prove up to winning one of these events.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Thurles 09/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m44y Goo 1259/10C8C8 @ Killarney 17/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 15417/07C8C8 @ Killarney 20/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 15420/08C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Killarney?4th4th0
2026-08-10Ballinrobe?0
2026-07-17Killarney?9th9th0
2026-07-02Limerick?0
2025-10-09Thurles?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1017/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +30.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/10/202510th125/10%10%+0.10
17/07/20269th300/10%27%+0.27
20/08/20264th300/10%70%+0.70