2

Majestic Force

8yo Mare · 11-1 · OR 123

Listowel · Kinisla Cheestrings Irish EBF Mares Hurdle · 2m 4f

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Punchestown maiden hurdle winner who belatedly got off the mark over fences at Wexford in the 2024/25 season and travelled better than most when fifth at Punchestown when last seen in May 2025. Returns from a 16-month absence and the market is likely to prove informative on her return to hurdles.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 21/02/2024 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m4f41y Hvy 15121/02C81 @ Cheltenham 14/03/2024 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m179y Sft 15614/031C0 @ Cork 13/12/2024 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 2m5f50y Yie 16113/12C?C0 @ Naas 05/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m4f29y Sft 1615/01C?C0 @ Wexford 17/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 3m1f100y Goo 15917/03C?1 @ Punchestown 03/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 126 · 3m104y Yie 142 · below its mark03/05/2025 · OR 126 par3/051OR 126projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-05-03Punchestown15th5th0
2025-03-17Wexford?1st1st0
2025-01-05Naas?6th6th0
2024-12-13Cork?2nd2nd0
2024-03-14Cheltenham15th5th0
2024-02-21Punchestown?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0214/0313/125/0117/033/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength52%

Delivery trend -9.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/02/20241st7/282%100%+0.18
14/03/20245th25/10%43%+0.43
13/12/20242nd3/184%83%-0.01
05/01/20256th9/488%29%-0.60
17/03/20251st10/1195%100%+0.05
03/05/20255th5/174%64%-0.10