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5

Sea Coral

4yo Filly · 10-1

Listowel · Kinisla Cheestrings Irish EBF Mares Hurdle · 2m 4f

#5

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful Flat performer at up to 13f. Twice placed in handicaps during the summer but was below her best on her last 2 starts in that sphere. The yard has done well with similar recruits in the past, but this looks a stiff opening task.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Gowran Park 26/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m4f50y Gd 12626/071BHA88 @ Bellewstown 02/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 88 · 1m4f77y Sft 131 · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 88 parBHA86 @ Dundalk 31/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 86 · 1m4f Std 130 · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 86 par31/1086OR 86BHA84 @ Cork 03/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 84 · 1m4f30y Sft 124 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 84 parBHA83 @ Curragh 24/05/2026 · Pos 22nd of 24 · OR 83 · 1m6f Gd 133 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 83 par24/0583OR 83BHA79 @ Tramore 07/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 79 · 1m4f Goo 144 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 79 parBHA79 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 79 · 1m4f179y Goo 132 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 79 par20/0779OR 79BHA80 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 80 · 1m4f100y GF 120 · below its mark12/08/2026 · OR 80 parBHA80 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 80 · 1m5f Goo 140 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 80 par20/0880OR 80projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20LeopardstownBHA808th8th0
2026-08-12Gowran ParkBHA807th7th0
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA793rd3rd0
2026-07-07TramoreBHA793rd3rd0
2026-05-24CurraghBHA8322th22th0
2026-05-03CorkBHA8412th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/073/0520/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength82%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/07/20256th28/10%29%+0.29
02/10/20252nd7/282%67%-0.15
31/10/202511th8/158%0%-0.58
03/05/202612th25/10%21%+0.21
24/05/202622nd66/10%9%+0.09
07/07/20263rd9/276%60%-0.16
20/07/20263rd9/153%75%+0.22
12/08/20267th16/116%14%-0.02
20/08/20268th18/15%30%+0.25