4
Tumbling In
5yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 110
Listowel · Kinisla Cheestrings Irish EBF Mares Hurdle · 2m 4f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
95%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Roscommon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Listowel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Limerick | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Listowel | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -9.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 01/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |