7
Brosna Queen
6yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 113
Listowel · Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 100y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Downpatrick | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Sligo | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Fairyhouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Wexford | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-16 | Navan | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Gowran Park | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1978% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 08/06/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 03/10/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 16/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.05 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |