8

Bynx

8yo Mare · 11-0 · OR 108

Listowel · Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 100y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Versatile performer who won on the Flat earlier in the summer. Shaped like a non-stayer over fences at Kilbeggan (2½m, good to soft) latest and is still 8 lb above her latest winning mark over hurdles.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA100 @ Thurles 30/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 100 · 2m4f Goo 146 · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 100 par30/10100OR 100BHA50 @ Gowran Park 22/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 50 · 1m5f160y Sft 132 · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 50 par1 @ Killarney 09/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 108 · 2m1f Goo 154 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 108 par9/051OR 108BHA114 @ Tramore 29/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 114 · 1m7f110y Goo 164 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 114 parBHA50 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 50 · 2m1f Yie 120 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 50 par10/0650OR 50BHA48 @ Tramore 07/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 48 · 2m Goo 132 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 48 parBHA112 @ Wexford 08/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 112 · 1m7f120y Goo 164 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 112 par8/08112OR 112BHA52 @ Tramore 15/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 52 · 2m Goo 138 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 52 parBHA111 @ Kilbeggan 04/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 111 · 2m4f95y Goo 147 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 111 par4/09111OR 111projClass-projected finish: 14th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04KilbegganBHA1118th8th0
2026-08-15TramoreBHA524th4th0
2026-08-08WexfordBHA1124th4th0
2026-07-07TramoreBHA481st1st0
2026-06-10LimerickBHA508th8th0
2026-05-29TramoreBHA1148th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1029/058/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1933% of fieldRange 11-19 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength4%

Delivery trend -4.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/10/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
22/04/20266th18/15%58%+0.53
09/05/20266th40/10%38%+0.38
29/05/20268th15/261%30%-0.31
10/06/20268th40/10%46%+0.46
07/07/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
08/08/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
15/08/20264th2/189%73%-0.17
04/09/20268th22/10%42%+0.42