Fraher Field
6yo Mare · 10-11 · OR 105
Listowel · Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 100y
#14
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Tramore | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cork | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Listowel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 29/08/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 11/05/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 18/06/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 94% | +0.57 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 01/09/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |