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Jeaniemacaroney

6yo Mare · 11-10 · OR 118

Listowel · Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 100y

#11

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful Flat/hurdles winner for Joseph Patrick O'Brien. Shaped well in a mares hurdle on final start for that yard last autumn. Claims at the weights back hurdling on second start for current stable, though has been off 10 weeks since a pipe-opener on the Flat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Laytown 16/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 72 · 7f Std 138 · below its mark16/09/2024 · OR 72 par16/09C8OR 721 @ Listowel 26/09/2024 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 111 · 2m Sft 142 · beat its mark26/09/2024 · OR 111 parBHA111 @ Limerick 19/11/2024 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 111 · 2m Yie 170 · below its mark19/11/2024 · OR 111 par19/11111OR 111BHA114 @ Thurles 21/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 114 · 2m15y Gd 155 · beat its mark21/12/2024 · OR 114 par1 @ Leopardstown 02/02/2025 · Pos 13th of 19 · OR 122 · 2m2f Sft 154 · below its mark02/02/2025 · OR 122 par2/021OR 122C8 @ Tramore 08/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 69 · 1m4f Gd 130 · beat its mark08/07/2025 · OR 69 parC0 @ Wexford 23/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m Yie 16123/07C?BHA121 @ Clonmel 02/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 121 · 2m4f35y Yie 167 · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 121 parBHA76 @ Killarney 14/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m3f88y Gd 128 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 76 par14/0776OR 76projClass-projected finish: 18th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14KillarneyBHA768th8th0
2025-10-02ClonmelBHA1215th5th0
2025-07-23Wexford?6th6th0
2025-07-08Tramore?1st1st0
2025-02-02Leopardstown113th13th0
2024-12-21ThurlesBHA1141st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0921/1223/0714/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1922% of fieldRange 13-19 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/09/20242nd10/1195%89%-0.06
26/09/20245th11/271%64%-0.07
19/11/20242nd9/488%88%-0.01
21/12/20241st6/168%100%+0.32
02/02/202513th22/10%33%+0.33
08/07/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
23/07/20256th2/189%17%-0.73
02/10/20255th11/271%60%-0.11
14/07/20268th80/10%13%+0.13