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16

Midnight Eagle

6yo Mare · 10-7 · OR 101

Listowel · Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 100y

#18

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has thrived for current yard, overcoming adversity when successful 2½m handicap at Sligo last month. Shaped as if still in good form when unable to see out the longer trip at Kilbeggan (25f) last time and has each-way claims back down in distance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA94 @ Punchestown 31/12/2025 · Pos 15th of 18 · OR 94 · 2m105y Yie 162 · below its mark31/12/2025 · OR 94 par31/1294OR 94BHA92 @ Clonmel 02/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 92 · 1m7f200y Sft 160 · below its mark02/04/2026 · OR 92 parBHA90 @ Limerick 16/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 90 · 2m50y Sft 160 · below its mark16/04/2026 · OR 90 par16/0490OR 90C8 @ Clonmel 14/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 87 · 2m3f116y Goo 150 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 87 parBHA94 @ Downpatrick 14/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 94 · 2m2f185y Gd 141 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 94 par14/0694OR 94BHA92 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 92 · 2m1f Goo 148 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 92 parBHA96 @ Cork 03/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 96 · 2m1f Goo 146 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 96 par3/0896OR 96BHA96 @ Sligo 19/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 96 · 2m4f148y Gd 148 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 96 parBHA101 @ Kilbeggan 04/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 101 · 3m200y Goo 155 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 101 par4/09101OR 101projClass-projected finish: 13th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04KilbegganBHA1019th9th0
2026-08-19SligoBHA961st1st0
2026-08-03CorkBHA963rd3rd0
2026-07-16KillarneyBHA922nd2nd0
2026-06-14DownpatrickBHA9410th10th0
2026-05-14Clonmel?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/1214/053/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1928% of fieldRange 1-19 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength42%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/12/202515th16/116%18%+0.02
02/04/202612th25/10%27%+0.27
16/04/202614th22/10%0%0.00
14/05/20263rd25/10%78%+0.78
14/06/202610th11/271%18%-0.53
16/07/20262nd18/15%93%+0.88
03/08/20263rd10/147%80%+0.33
19/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
04/09/20269th17/255%33%-0.22