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9

Mysilverriverfeale

5yo Mare · 10-12 · OR 106

Listowel · Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 100y

#15

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Low-mileage 5-y-o. Bounced back to form when readily winning a 19f Kilbeggan novice (runner-up since franked the form). Didn't improve as required on handicap debut over the same C&D last time, however, and she could be vulnerable off an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Wexford 06/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m Goo 1596/08C?C0 @ Ballinrobe 25/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 2m71y Goo 159C8 @ Thurles 05/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR - · 2m140y Sft 1595/03C8C8 @ Clonmel 26/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 2m2f188y Sft 153C8 @ Killarney 11/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 2m6f100y Goo 15311/05C8C8 @ Tramore 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 99 · 2m5f145y Goo 161 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 99 parC8 @ Killarney 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 104 · 2m6f180y Goo 153 · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 104 par17/07C8OR 104C8 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 102 · 2m2f200y Gd 151 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 102 parBHA106 @ Kilbeggan 21/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 106 · 2m2f200y Goo 162 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 106 par21/08106OR 106projClass-projected finish: 8th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21KilbegganBHA1068th8th0
2026-07-24Kilbeggan?1st1st0
2026-07-17Killarney?4th4th0
2026-05-29Tramore?2nd2nd0
2026-05-11Killarney?5th5th0
2026-03-26Clonmel?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0826/0317/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1917% of fieldRange 10-19 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength17%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20255th12/137%60%+0.23
25/08/20256th11/142%50%+0.08
05/03/20266th14/126%71%+0.44
26/03/20268th50/10%36%+0.36
11/05/20265th100/10%73%+0.73
29/05/20262nd14/126%89%+0.63
17/07/20264th3/184%79%-0.06
24/07/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
21/08/20268th10/147%50%+0.03