5
Pampar Lady
7yo Mare · 11-8 · OR 116
Listowel · Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 100y
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | ? | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Tramore | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Down Royal | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1989% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/09/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 05/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 31/10/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 31/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 02/09/2026 | 18th | 100/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |