2

Radiator Springs

6yo Mare · 11-11 · OR 119

Listowel · Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 100y

#4

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Low-mileage point winner who was successful on second hurdle start at Clonmel in January. Hasn't been seen since failing to meet expectations in a fairly useful handicap at Punchestown in the spring. Capable of running a big race if back on song following 4 months away, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 15/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 19 · OR - · 2m Sft 16115/12C8C8 @ Clonmel 08/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 2m202y Hvy 1538/01C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 06/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 21 · OR 116 · 2m Yie 162 · below its mark06/04/2026 · OR 116 par6/04C8OR 116BHA119 @ Punchestown 29/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 24 · OR 119 · 2m3f58y Yie 165 · below its mark29/04/2026 · OR 119 par29/04119OR 119projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-29PunchestownBHA1198th8th0
2026-04-06Fairyhouse?2nd2nd0
2026-01-08Clonmel?1st1st0
2025-12-15Naas?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/128/016/0429/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1967% of fieldRange 4-19 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%

Delivery trend -25.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/12/20253rd40/10%89%+0.89
08/01/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
06/04/20262nd9/153%95%+0.42
29/04/20268th9/276%70%-0.07