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17

Regards To Rose

7yo Mare · 10-4 · OR 98

Listowel · Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 100y

#17

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Travelled well when off the mark in 17-runner handicap hurdle here this time last year. Shaped a bit better than her previous 2 starts this summer when mid-field in a Killarney handicap 9 weeks ago. Bigger performance could be in the offing on return to this track.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 12/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 100 · 2m6f100y Goo 153 · below its mark12/05/2025 · OR 100 par12/05C8OR 100C8 @ Limerick 29/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 100 · 2m3f50y Goo 161 · below its mark29/05/2025 · OR 100 parC8 @ Punchestown 08/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR 100 · 2m5f139y Goo 161 · below its mark08/06/2025 · OR 100 par8/06C8OR 100C8 @ Killarney 18/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 100 · 2m6f180y Yie 153 · below its mark18/07/2025 · OR 100 parBHA98 @ Killarney 23/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 98 · 2m4f50y Goo 166 · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 98 par23/0898OR 98C5 @ Listowel 26/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR 96 · 2m Goo 164 · beat its mark26/09/2025 · OR 96 parBHA101 @ Ballinrobe 26/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 101 · 2m13y Goo 140 · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 101 par26/05101OR 101BHA101 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 101 · 2m110y Gd 157 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 101 parBHA100 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 100 · 2m1f Goo 156 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 100 par16/07100OR 100projClass-projected finish: 17th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16KillarneyBHA1008th8th0
2026-07-02LimerickBHA1019th9th0
2026-05-26BallinrobeBHA1018th8th0
2025-09-26Listowel?1st1st0
2025-08-23KillarneyBHA985th5th0
2025-07-18Killarney?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0518/0726/0516/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 190% of fieldRange 10-19 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength12%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 19th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/05/20253rd25/10%75%+0.75
29/05/20252nd6/168%93%+0.24
08/06/20254th11/271%81%+0.10
18/07/20253rd11/486%82%-0.04
23/08/20255th6/168%69%+0.01
26/09/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
26/05/20268th14/126%13%-0.14
02/07/20269th20/10%20%+0.20
16/07/20268th25/10%50%+0.50