11
River Tara
8yo Mare · 10-11 · OR 105
Listowel · Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 100y
#1
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
94%
Rank
#1
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Tramore | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-28 | Galway | BHA107 | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-17 | Wexford | BHA108 | 0 | ||
| 2024-07-15 | Downpatrick | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2023-09-22 | Listowel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2023-08-11 | Wexford | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1961% of fieldRange 17-19 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2022 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/04/2023 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 92% | -0.02 |
| 18/06/2023 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 11/08/2023 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 22/09/2023 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 94% | +0.10 |
| 15/07/2024 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 89% | -0.05 |