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Speisialta

6yo Mare · 11-10 · OR 118

Listowel · Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 100y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Quirky sort who was given too much rope when successful on hurdling debut at Sligo. Improved in the face of better opposition when runner-up in a mares conditions race at Bellewstown (17f) subsequently. Makes a quick switch to handicaps but opening mark demands more again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 12/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 2m35y Sft 16512/01C?C0 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 2m150y Gd 16123/07C?C8 @ Sligo 06/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 2m1f193y Goo 1616/08C8C0 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 2m1f40y Goo 15726/08C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Bellewstown?2nd2nd0
2026-08-06Sligo?1st1st0
2026-07-23Wexford?10th10th0
2026-07-03Wexford?0
2026-01-12Punchestown?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0123/076/0826/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 19100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +29.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/01/20264th15/261%75%+0.14
23/07/202610th9/153%31%-0.22
06/08/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
26/08/20262nd25/10%80%+0.80