6
Tountinna
5yo Mare · 11-6 · OR 114
Listowel · Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 100y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Cork | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Cork | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-12 | Punchestown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Thurles | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Punchestown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Galway | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1972% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 12/01/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 42% | -0.14 |
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |