2

Fuusland

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · Kinisla Dairygold Maiden Hurdle · 2m 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked far from natural when well-beaten fourth of 9 in a Downpatrick novice (2¼m) in July. Steps up in trip but is probably a handicap project for top yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f165y Gd 15814/07C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Downpatrick?4th4th0
2026-07-06Roscommon?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/07/20264th28/10%63%+0.63