6

Haveanothertry

5yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 110

Listowel · Kinisla Dairygold Maiden Hurdle · 2m 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Finished last season with back-to-back places in maiden hurdles, latterly finishing 2 lengths behind a next-time-out winner at Navan (2½m, soft) on final start for Gordon Elliott. Probably needs to better that to make winning return, for all Mark Walsh is a positive jockey booking on stable debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Limerick 28/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 2m2f Sft 16828/12C?C8 @ Punchestown 26/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 2m3f Hvy 16626/01C8C8 @ Thurles 19/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m6f187y Sft 15819/02C8C8 @ Leopardstown 03/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 2m4f170y Sft 1663/03C8C8 @ Navan 21/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 110 · 2m4f Sft 166 · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 110 par21/03C8OR 110projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-21Navan?3rd3rd0
2026-03-03Leopardstown?2nd2nd0
2026-02-19Thurles?4th4th0
2026-01-26Punchestown?3rd3rd0
2025-12-28Limerick?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1226/0119/023/0321/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/12/20254th10/147%50%+0.03
26/01/20263rd28/10%33%+0.33
19/02/20264th4/179%63%-0.16
03/03/20262nd16/116%89%+0.73
21/03/20263rd7/282%71%-0.10