17

Misty Valentine

4yo Filly · 11-2

Listowel · Kinisla Dairygold Maiden Hurdle · 2m 6f

#15

Rank

Odds

250/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Timeform

Commentary

Has made an inauspicious start to her hurdling career. Now in first-time hood over a significantly longer trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 15.0 /10 (raw 15.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 03/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 18 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 1583/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Killarney?0
2026-08-03Cork?15th15th0
2026-06-01Listowel?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 13-18 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength9%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/08/202615th250/10%18%+0.18