8

Rememberwhat

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · Kinisla Dairygold Maiden Hurdle · 2m 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Split a fairly useful pair to finish 1¼-length second on hurdling debut at Kilbeggan (25f). Unsurprisingly didn't translate that to a bumper there last time (later disqualified as rider failed to weigh in). Player if reproducing his initial hurdles form, though clearly isn't one for maximum faith.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Kilbeggan 15/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m7f200y Gd 16815/06C?C0 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 2m2f165y Gd 16814/07C?C0 @ Kilbeggan 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 3m1f Gd 1528/08C?C0 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m3f Goo 1683/09C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Kilbeggan?5th5th0
2026-08-08Kilbeggan?2nd2nd0
2026-07-14Downpatrick?6th6th0
2026-06-15Kilbeggan?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0614/078/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -22.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/06/20264th22/10%77%+0.77
14/07/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
08/08/20262nd50/10%75%+0.75
03/09/20265th8/158%33%-0.25