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9

Run Ted Run

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · Kinisla Dairygold Maiden Hurdle · 2m 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

98%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Half-brother to fairly useful hurdler Kilbarry Lilly (who stayed this far). Justified support to make a winning start in a 2¼m Galway Festival bumper in late-July, digging deep to see off an in-form one with experience. That form is working out well, and he looks very interesting on hurdles bow.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Galway 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 2m2f Gd 16830/07C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Galway?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20261st5/493%100%+0.07