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11

Too Hot To Trot

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · Kinisla Dairygold Maiden Hurdle · 2m 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up in a point last autumn. Showed more ability than the bare result might suggest when beaten 6½ lengths (behind subsequent winner) in a heavy-ground bumper at Limerick in April. Entitled to do better on hurdling debut given his connections/pedigree (half-brother to fairly useful hurdler).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Limerick 16/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m3f60y Sft 16816/04C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-16Limerick?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20266th2/189%38%-0.52