1
Apple's Of Bresil
8yo Gelding · 11-7
Listowel · Kinisla Kerrymaid Rated Novice Chase · 2m 1f 150y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
47%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Kilbeggan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-26 | Ballinrobe | BHA120 | 10th | 15th | −5 |
| 2024-11-30 | Fairyhouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Gowran Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-09-09 | Galway | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2024-08-03 | Galway | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2023 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 29/12/2023 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 07/07/2024 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 03/08/2024 | 4th | 16/5 | 83% | 84% | +0.01 |
| 09/09/2024 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 05/10/2024 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 30/11/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 26/05/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |