Coming Up Easy
8yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 140
Listowel · Kinisla Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 150y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA140 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Aintree | 1 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-23 | Killarney | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-21 | Cork | BHA125 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-13 | Limerick | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2024 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 02/05/2024 | 19th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 07/12/2024 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 18/01/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 13/03/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 21/04/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 10/04/2026 | 16th | 25/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |