3
Coral River
7yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 132
Listowel · Kinisla Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 150y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | Punchestown | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Clonmel | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Fairyhouse | BHA130 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Punchestown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Punchestown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Galway | 1 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 30/04/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 08/06/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 02/08/2025 | 18th | 20/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 11/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 90% | -0.02 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 30/04/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 58% | +0.16 |