9
Costacurta
6yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 120
Listowel · Kinisla Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 150y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA120 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Tramore | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Wexford | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Listowel | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Kilbeggan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 16/05/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 22/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 27/09/2025 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 27/10/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |