Crowsatedappletart
9yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 123
Listowel · Kinisla Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 150y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | BHA102 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cork | BHA103 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Wexford | BHA117 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Limerick | BHA103 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Cork | BHA103 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Limerick | BHA109 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 26/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 02/11/2025 | 7th | 16/5 | 83% | 40% | -0.43 |
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.23 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 79% | +0.42 |