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5

Net Boy

7yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 126

Listowel · Kinisla Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 150y

#1

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

79%

Place Prob

55%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful winning hurdler. Unseated early on chasing debut in March, but took his form up a notch with a commanding success in maiden at Ballinrobe in May. 3/1, pulled up in novice chase at Killarney (17f, good) in July. Market may be the best indicator of what's expected now sent handicapping over fences.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Navan 23/03/2024 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m7f150y Hvy 16823/03C?C0 @ Wexford 28/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 2m100y Sft 16828/10C?C8 @ Naas 03/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR - · 2m Goo 1663/04C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 20/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 22 · OR - · 2m25y Sft 16620/04C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 27/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 115 · 2m57y Gd 158 · beat its mark27/05/2025 · OR 115 par27/05C8OR 115BHA120 @ Ballinrobe 22/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 120 · 2m1f89y Gd 166 · below its mark22/07/2025 · OR 120 par22/07120OR 120C0 @ Ballinrobe 25/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 2m1f54y Goo 16625/05C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Killarney?0
2026-05-25Ballinrobe?1st1st0
2026-03-03Leopardstown?0
2025-07-22BallinrobeBHA1202nd2nd0
2025-05-27Ballinrobe?1st1st0
2025-04-20Fairyhouse?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0320/0425/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/03/20244th12/137%63%+0.26
28/10/20243rd4/179%60%-0.19
03/04/20254th9/276%81%+0.05
20/04/20253rd10/147%90%+0.43
27/05/20251st4/696%100%+0.04
22/07/20252nd13/891%88%-0.04
25/05/20261st12/137%100%+0.63