10
Warriors Wood
6yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 120
Listowel · Kinisla Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 150y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | BHA122 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | BHA114 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA121 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kilbeggan | BHA115 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 22/07/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 25/08/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 31/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.11 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |