6
Wonleg
6yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 124
Listowel · Kinisla Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 150y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA126 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Aintree | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Leopardstown | BHA123 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-21 | Killarney | BHA123 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-23 | Wexford | BHA116 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-30 | Tramore | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength40%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2024 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 21/04/2025 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 15% | -0.27 |
| 08/05/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 30/05/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 23/07/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 21/08/2025 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 44% | -0.48 |
| 26/12/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 15/06/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 11% | -0.44 |