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6

Green Hint

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Listowel · Kinisla Farm & Home Store (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m

#1

Rank

Odds

5/6

Win Prob

86%

Place Prob

70%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Point winner who made a promising start under Rules when runner-up in valuable bumper at Punchestown for Stuart Crawford last spring. Off 9 months ahead of stable debut and still looked in need of experience when beaten favourite at Fairyhouse in February. Respected for leading yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 29/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR - · 2m149y Goo 16429/04C?C0 @ Fairyhouse 03/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 2m Sft 1683/02C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-03Fairyhouse?2nd2nd0
2025-04-29Punchestown?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/043/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength11%

Delivery trend -70.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/04/20252nd12/137%94%+0.57
03/02/20262nd4/797%83%-0.14