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7

Sir Vinny

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Listowel · Kinisla Farm & Home Store (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m

#2

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

14%

Place Prob

29%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has shaped well in a trio of bumpers this season, beaten only a short head by Run Ted Run (due to run in the maiden hurdle earlier on this card) in 16-runner contest at the Galway Festival (2¼m). Major player.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 1686/06C?C0 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 2m1f40y Gd 1614/07C?C0 @ Galway 30/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 2m2f Gd 16830/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Galway?2nd2nd0
2026-07-04Bellewstown?2nd2nd0
2026-06-06Punchestown?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/064/0730/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/20263rd10/382%88%+0.06
04/07/20262nd4/179%93%+0.14
30/07/20262nd5/174%93%+0.20