2
Big Coin
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 67
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 08/11/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 07/12/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 14/12/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 22/02/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 13/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |