6
Dad's Bad Bunny
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 72
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
91%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength98%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 25/01/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 13/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |