3
Despite
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 60
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 08/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |