4
Cloudy Women
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 83
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 10/01/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 05/07/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 10% | -0.27 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |