Elite Heat
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 92
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-09-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2025-08-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2025 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 11/04/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 05/07/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 06/08/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 56% | -0.34 |
| 16/09/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 44% | -0.41 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |