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3

Jasmina

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 86

Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

81%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength61%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 30/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 5f Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS30/05C6C6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 28/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 69 · 5f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/06/2025 · OR 69 par28/06C6OR 69C5 @ Del Mar 04/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 80 · 5f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/08/2025 · OR 80 par4/08C5OR 80C5 @ Del Mar 02/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 81 · 5f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 81 par2/09C5OR 81C6 @ Santa Anita 29/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 79 · 6f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 79 par29/05C6OR 79C8 @ Del Mar 31/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 80 · 5f110y 120 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 80 par31/07C8OR 80C8 @ Del Mar 16/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 80 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 80 par16/08C8OR 80projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Del Mar?3rd3rd0
2026-07-31Del Mar?2nd2nd0
2026-05-29Santa Anita?4th2nd+2
2025-09-02Del Mar?8th4th+3
2025-08-04Del Mar?1st-3th+3
2025-06-28Los Alamitos Racecourse?1st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/052/0916/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20255th16/116%20%+0.04
28/06/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
04/08/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
02/09/20258th8/158%0%-0.58
29/05/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
31/07/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01
16/08/20263rd6/492%71%-0.21