Petit Filet
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 83
Los Alamitos Racecourse · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Del Mar | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-08-10 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-07-26 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-06-22 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-05-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-05-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2024 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 11/05/2024 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 09/06/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/05/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 25/05/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/06/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 26/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 10/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 07/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |